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Preliminary Late 2019 Assembly Election Outlook

 
 

This November the General Assembly is up for re-election. There are 40 legislative districts in New Jersey. Each legislative district has two Assembly people, for a total of 80 members in the General Assembly. The chart below represents our general election analysis of where the respective districts stand, from safe to toss up. As you can see, as of now, there are not many battleground districts. The incumbent democrats face stiff competition in districts 1 and 2, while traditionally republican stalwart districts like districts 8, 21 and possibly 25 may result in democrats making inroads that will increase their majority in the upcoming new legislative session.

 

New Jersey Late 2019 Assembly Race Ratings

*Assemblywoman Amy Handlin (R-13) and Assemblyman Michael Patrick Carroll (R-25) have announced that they will not seek re-election to the State Assembly in 2019.


View All Assembly Election Outlooks

2021 Assembly Election Outlook
Early 2020 Assembly Election Outlook
Late 2019 Assembly Election Outlook
Early 2019 Assembly Election Outlook

 
 

LEANS Democratic (4)

Mazzeo, D-12
Armato, D-12
Downey, D-11
Houghtaling, D-11

LIKELY Democratic (6)

Burzichelli, D-3
Taliaferro, D-3
Swain, D-38
Tully, D-38
Freiman, D-16
Zwicker, D-16

SAFE Democratic (42)

Moriarty, D-4
Mosquera, D-4
Eagan-Jones, D-5
Spearman, D-5
Greenwald, D-6
Lampitt, D-6
Conaway, D-7
Murphy, D-7
Benson, D-14
DeAngelo, D-14
Reynolds-Jackson, D-15
Verrelli, D-15
Danielson, D-17
Egan, D-17
Karabinchak, D-18
Pinkin, D-18
Coughlin, D-19
Lopez, D-19
Holley, D-20
Quijano, D-20
Carter, D-22
Kennedy, D-22
McKeon, D-27
Jasey, D-27
Caputo, D-28
Tucker, D-28
Pintor Marin, D-29
Speight, D-29
Chiarvalloti, D-31
McKnight, D-31
Jimenez, D-32
Mejia, D-32
Chaparro, D-33
Mukherji, D-33
Giblin, D-34
Timberlake, D-34
Sumter, D-35
Wimberly, D-35
Calabrese, D-36
Schaer, D-36
Huttle, D-37
Johnson, D-37

LEANS REPUBLICAN (2)

Munoz, R-21
Bramnick, R-21

LIKELY REPUBLICAN (6)

Bucco, R-25
*Open, -25
DeCroce, R-26
Webber, R-26
Auth, R-39
Schepisi, R-39

SAFE REPUBLICAN (16)

Gove, R-9
Rumpf, R-9
McGuckin, R-10
Open-10
Clifton, R-12
Dancer, R-12
DiMaso, R-13
*Open, R-13
DiMaio, R-23
Peterson, R-23
Space, R-24
Wirths, R-24
Kean, R-30
Thompson, R-30
DePhilipps, R-40
Rooney, R-40

TOSS-Up (4)

Andrzejczak, D-1
Land, D-1
Peters, R-8
Open, -8